#3rd hand analysis

Round 3 here we go.

http://weaktight.com/1550298

I have AJo and i raise 4 blinds standard so far ... I get a call from the villain OTB he is a rather good player 21/16/5.0 very aggressive and unpredictable ( 2nd time i play with him not much history tho big NSD winner ) tho his range is wide the fact that he is OTB makes his hand strength even more concealed due to the fact that he played 65% of his button hands so far. I pot bet the flop ( more as a probe cause his range is so big and he only has a 57% fold to Flop Cbet ) well he calls and now i have to make a turn decision ( with a pairing T board ) , if the board was rainbow i would probably check to either get a call on an extra bet on the river or check call the next two streets but ... It wasnt ... So i decided to slow down a bit and still give him negative odds on a draw by betting 2/3s ... He calls once again and now i m on a pickle. The river is a complete blank ( if he had me crushed the two wouldnt make him fold anything so ... ) . Question : Could i bet here ? Would it be profitable ? I dont think so ... My hand is good but not good enough to escalate the pot that much with a sizable bet. I lose against any stronger ace , a T ( unlikely at least ) or a set of 2s ( no way he has that ) but the bottom line is ... My read was a backdoor flush draw with a weaker A or a mid pair like 99/88 and he wouldnt call a 3 streets action bet however he might bet against a check to steal the pot with any of those , his AGF says so. He bets 2/3s and i call ... AJ proofs best. Ship it !



No link on this one i have it on HM but dunno why no record of it on XML archives.

3 way , a 22/19/2.5 raises to 3 blinds , i have 20cents in the pot so i m 1:2 with a hand that can easily trap Aces ? Hell yeah i m in J9 of spades is good enough ! The flop is AJ4 with two clubs and a spade and he bets 2/3s of the pot which i reraise 3 times from 0.80 to 2.40 he still calls. Another spade comes on the turn ( T ) so my hand suffers an improvement , instead of betting i check behind cause in case a non club comes on the river i can raise bluff the pot and if the final spade to complete my draw appears i want an extra bet out of it. A Q of diamonds drops on the river and is not quite the card i was waiting for... Still he bets 2.60 on a 6.0 pot , i felt weakness and boom reraise to 7. He ends up folding. I was representing the straight cause in my opinion he had either a weak ace or a busted flush draw with a mid weakish pair and if i just called here i would be probably more than 2/3s of the time behind so i rather be aggressive and go for the steal since he showed weakness.